Will Warren Buffett say “Billion” 20+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Warren Buffett said “Billion” 20+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 3, 2025.
–too little history for a probability (n=1)
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Warren Buffett
Billion 20+
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Warren Buffett yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2025 | Billion 20+ |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Warren Buffett say “Billion 20+”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Warren Buffett said “Billion” 20+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 3, 2025.
- What is the probability Warren Buffett says “Billion 20+” next time?
- 61%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Warren Buffett: ‘Billion 20+’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/warren-buffett/words/billion-20plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=warren-buffett&word=billion%20%2820%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=warren-buffett&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP