Will Lisa Su say “IBM”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Lisa Su said “IBM” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 28, 2026.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 keynote; May 28, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Lisa Su
IBM
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted.
…once felt impossible. I carried that feeling with me long after I left campus. When I joined IBM, I found myself starting all over again.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | IBM |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often does Lisa Su say “IBM”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Lisa Su said “IBM” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Lisa Su says “IBM” next time?
- 71%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Lisa Su: ‘IBM’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/lisa-su/words/ibm (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lisa-su&word=ibm · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lisa-su&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP