Will Lisa Su say “Claude / ChatGPT”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Lisa Su did not say “Claude / ChatGPT” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 28, 2026.
Of the last 2 transcripts we have, of any kind (1 episode, 1 keynote; May 28, 2026 – Jul 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 keynotes have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Lisa Su
Claude / ChatGPT
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 2 transcripts
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (1 episode, 1 keynote); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…of our technology with, you know, where they are. I mean, know, Claude has been incredibly, incredibly successful. And probably the highlight for me was,…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | Claude / ChatGPT |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often does Lisa Su say “Claude / ChatGPT”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Lisa Su did not say “Claude / ChatGPT” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Lisa Su says “Claude / ChatGPT” next time?
- 20%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Lisa Su: ‘Claude / ChatGPT’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/lisa-su/words/chatgpt-or-claude (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lisa-su&word=chatgpt%20%2F%20claude · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lisa-su&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP