Will John Ternus say “Update / Updated”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, John Ternus did not say “Update / Updated” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 8, 2026.
Of the last 2 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 8, 2026 – Sep 9, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
John Ternus
Update / Updated
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 2 keynotes
- said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…every single day. Here's Deidre to tell you more about the big updates to health and fitness in Apple Watch. ♪ "rivers run free" by…
…talk about our next set of releases, where we have some exciting updates to share. This year, we put our focus into three areas. First,…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2026 | Update / Updated |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does John Ternus say “Update / Updated”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, John Ternus did not say “Update / Updated” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jun 8, 2026.
- What is the probability John Ternus says “Update / Updated” next time?
- 8%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “John Ternus: ‘Update / Updated’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/john-ternus/words/update-or-updated (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=john-ternus&word=update%20%2F%20updated · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=john-ternus&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP