Will John Ternus say “Aluminum”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, John Ternus said “Aluminum” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 9, 2026.
Of the last 2 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 8, 2026 – Sep 9, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
John Ternus
Aluminum
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 2 keynotes
- said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…performance, battery, and camera. iPhone 18 Pro's gorgeous design now includes color-matched aluminum and back glass for a more cohesive look. It comes in an…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Aluminum |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often does John Ternus say “Aluminum”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, John Ternus said “Aluminum” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Sep 9, 2026.
- What is the probability John Ternus says “Aluminum” next time?
- 64%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “John Ternus: ‘Aluminum’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/john-ternus/words/aluminum (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=john-ternus&word=aluminum · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=john-ternus&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP