Will “Rafael / Nadal” be said on the next Tennis broadcast?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Rafael / Nadal” was said on Tennis broadcasts in 7 of 7 games with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 2, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 79% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.

79%from settlement history only · n=7counts: any official commentator
Last 10
7/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 7 times
Counts
any official commentator
Export

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API

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GET /api/v1/word?entity=tennis&word=nadal%20%2F%20rafael

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tennis

Rafael / Nadal

Probability
79% · n=7
Settled
7/7 (100%)

Next listing counts: any official commentator

We don’t have transcripts for Tennis yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the announcers say during Sinner vs Djokovic? · settled yes

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What will the announcers say during Fritz vs Zverev · settled yes

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What will the announcers say during the Men's French Open Zverev vs Cobolli · settled yes

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What will the announcers say during Mensik vs Zverev · settled yes

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What will the announcers say during Arnaldi vs Cobolli · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during Berrettini vs Arnaldi · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during Mensik vs Fonseca · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during Jodar vs Zverev · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 8 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 10, 2026Rafael / NadalKalshiYes
Jul 8, 2026Rafael / NadalKalshiYes
Jun 7, 2026Rafael / NadalKalshiYes
Jun 5, 2026Rafael / NadalKalshiYes
Jun 5, 2026Rafael / NadalKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Jun 3, 2026Rafael / NadalKalshiYes
Jun 2, 2026Rafael / NadalKalshiYes
Jun 2, 2026Rafael / NadalKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Rafael / Nadal” said on Tennis broadcasts?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Rafael / Nadal” was said on Tennis broadcasts in 7 of 7 games with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 2, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 10, 2026.
What is the probability “Rafael / Nadal” is said on Tennis broadcasts next time?
79%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any official commentator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tennis: ‘Rafael / Nadal’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/tennis/words/nadal-or-rafael (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tennis&word=nadal%20%2F%20rafael · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tennis&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP