Tennis: Game, Jul 10, 2026

Fri, Jul 10GameHistory onlyTennis

Updated

Markets

15 words · 8 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Rafael / Nadal Yes72%n=7 from settlement history–
Tiebreak / Tiebreaker Yes62%n=7 from settlement history–
French Open Yes–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Double Fault Yes53%n=7 from settlement history–
Roger / Federer Yes53%n=7 from settlement history–
Australia / Australian Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Retire / Retired / Retirement Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
GOAT Yes25%n=7 from settlement history–
World Cup No65%n=5 from settlement history–
Norway No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Golf No–new new word, no probability yet–
Topspin No42%n=5 from settlement history–
Messi No–n=1 too little history for a probability–
Code Violation / Time Violation No34%n=7 from settlement history–
Bagel No26%n=7 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXATPMENTION-26JUL10SINDJO · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP