Will “Red Card” be said on the next Premier League broadcast?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Red Card” was said on Premier League broadcasts in 1 of 4 games with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 13, 2026 (25%), most recently on Apr 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

40%from settlement history only · n=4counts: play-by-play or color
Last 10
1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
play-by-play or color
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Premier League

Red Card

Probability
40% · n=4
Settled
1/4 (25%)

Next listing counts: play-by-play or color

We don’t have transcripts for Premier League yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the announcers say during Arsenal vs Newcastle · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during Manchester City vs Arsenal · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during the Sidemen Charity Match? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the announcers say during Manchester United vs Leeds United · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Apr 25, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Apr 19, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Apr 18, 2026Red CardPolymarketNo
Apr 18, 2026Red CardKalshiNo
Apr 13, 2026Red CardKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Red Card” said on Premier League broadcasts?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Red Card” was said on Premier League broadcasts in 1 of 4 games with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 13, 2026 (25%), most recently on Apr 13, 2026.
What is the probability “Red Card” is said on Premier League broadcasts next time?
40%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: play-by-play or color.

Cite parrot.markets, “Premier League: ‘Red Card’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/premier-league/words/red-card (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=premier-league&word=red%20card · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=premier-league&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP