San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins
7-2Final
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: any official commentator 
Kalshi
KalshiWords
19 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | These teams | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sweep / Swept | 56/6981% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 88% n=8 | 76% n=21 | 77%n=69 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Bunt / Bunted | 129/17076% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes no no no no yes yes | 76% n=17 | 76% n=75 | 73%n=170 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Error | 131/17475% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes no yes yes yes yes | 71% n=17 | 79% n=75 | 72%n=174 from settlement history | No | – |
| MVP | 115/17466% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes no yes yes yes | 53% n=17 | 72% n=75 | 62%n=174 from settlement history | No | – |
| Bases Loaded | 104/17460% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes no no yes yes | 59% n=17 | 64% n=75 | 57%n=174 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Grand Slam | 97/17456% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes no no no no | 47% n=17 | 59% n=75 | 55%n=174 from settlement history | No | – |
| Career High | 2/2100% | 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes | – | – | 55%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Draft / Drafted | 2/2100% | 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes | – | – | 55%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Momentum | 2/2100% | 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes | – | – | 55%n=2 from settlement history | No | – |
| Shutout / Shut Out | 21/6930% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no yes no yes yes no | 50% n=8 | 24% n=21 | 55%n=69 from settlement history | No | – |
| Walk Off | 86/17449% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no no no no no no | 47% n=17 | 49% n=75 | 48%n=174 from settlement history | No | – |
| loanDepot | 0/10% | 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| Ohtani | 76/17244% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes | 41% n=17 | 45% n=75 | 43%n=172 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Pitch Clock | 52/17430% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes no yes yes no no yes | 24% n=17 | 29% n=75 | 32%n=174 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Wild Pitch | 53/17430% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes no no no no no yes | 41% n=17 | 31% n=75 | 31%n=174 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| No Hitter | 18/6926% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes no no no no no no | 38% n=8 | 43% n=21 | 29%n=69 from settlement history | No | – |
| Extra Inning | 48/17428% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no no no no no | 18% n=17 | 28% n=75 | 28%n=174 from settlement history | No | – |
| What a Catch | 12/1757% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes no no no no no | 6% n=17 | 9% n=75 | 9%n=175 from settlement history | No | – |
| Event does not qualify | 1/1711% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 0% n=17 | 0% n=75 | – | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=mlb%3A2026-07-25%3Agame-sd-mia · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP