# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-07-25 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUL25SDMIA · as_of 2026-10-24T19:03:18Z
# scope K any_official_commentator · n/y settled before 2026-07-25 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26JUL25SDMIA ({word} = w of K rows): If any official broadcast commentator - includes play by play, color commentator, rules analyst or sideline reporter says {word} as part of San Diego vs Miami Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Sweep / Swept	sweep|swept	69	56	0.81	YYYYYYYYYY	0.77	hist	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	168	129	0.77	YYYnnnnnYY	0.73	hist	yes
Error	error	173	131	0.76	YnnYYnYYYY	0.72	hist	no
MVP	mvp	173	115	0.66	YYnYYYnYYY	0.62	hist	no
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	173	104	0.6	YYnYYYnnYY	0.57	hist	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	173	97	0.56	YYYYnYnnnn	0.55	hist	no
Walk Off	walk off	173	86	0.5	YYnYnnnnnn	0.48	hist	no
loanDepot	loandepot	1	0	0	n	0.45	hist	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	171	76	0.44	nYYYYYYYYn	0.43	hist	yes
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	173	52	0.3	nnYYnYYnYn	0.32	hist	yes
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	173	53	0.31	nYnYnnnnYn	0.31	hist	yes
No Hitter	no hitter	69	18	0.26	nYYYnnnnnn	0.29	hist	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	173	48	0.28	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.28	hist	no
What a Catch	what a catch	174	12	0.07	nnnnYnnnnn	0.09	hist	no
Career High	career high	2	2	1	YY	0.55	prior	yes
Draft / Drafted	draft|drafted	2	2	1	YY	0.55	prior	yes
Momentum	momentum	2	2	1	YY	0.55	prior	no
Shutout / Shut Out	shut out|shutout	2	1	0.5	nY	0.55	prior	no