San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners
7-4Final
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: play-by-play or color 
Kalshi
KalshiWords
19 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | These teams | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bullpen | 37/37100% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 100% n=6 | 100% n=16 | 98%n=37 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Double Play | 68/7492% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes yes | 91% n=11 | 92% n=37 | 88%n=74 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Triple | 66/7489% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 100% n=11 | 92% n=37 | 87%n=74 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Trade / Traded | 62/7089% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes no yes no yes yes | 100% n=10 | 89% n=37 | 85%n=70 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| T-Mobile Park | 5/5100% | 5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes | 100% n=5 | – | 81%n=5 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Bunt / Bunted | 52/7074% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes no yes yes | 80% n=10 | 78% n=37 | 72%n=70 from settlement history | No | – |
| Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit | 27/3773% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes | 50% n=6 | 94% n=16 | 71%n=37 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| MVP | 52/7371% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no yes yes no yes yes | 60% n=10 | 70% n=37 | 67%n=73 from settlement history | No | – |
| Error | 51/7469% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes no yes yes no yes yes | 64% n=11 | 73% n=37 | 65%n=74 from settlement history | No | – |
| Bases Loaded | 43/7458% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes no yes yes no | 45% n=11 | 68% n=37 | 57%n=74 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Walk Off | 40/7454% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes yes no yes no yes | 45% n=11 | 43% n=37 | 53%n=74 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Grand Slam | 39/7453% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes no no no yes no yes | 55% n=11 | 49% n=37 | 52%n=74 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Ohtani | 31/7144% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes no no yes yes no | 36% n=11 | 46% n=37 | 44%n=71 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Extra Inning | 26/7435% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no no no yes no yes | 18% n=11 | 32% n=37 | 36%n=74 from settlement history | No | – |
| Wild Pitch | 20/7427% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no no no no no yes | 36% n=11 | 27% n=37 | 29%n=74 from settlement history | No | – |
| Perfect Game | 8/3722% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no yes no yes yes no | 0% n=6 | 19% n=16 | 25%n=37 from settlement history | No | – |
| Pitch Clock | 17/7423% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no yes no yes no no | 9% n=11 | 24% n=37 | 25%n=74 from settlement history | No | – |
| What a Catch | 5/747% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 9% n=11 | 11% n=37 | 10%n=74 from settlement history | No | – |
| Event does not qualify | 0/700% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 0% n=10 | 0% n=37 | – | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=mlb%3A2026-05-16%3Agame-sd-sea · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP