# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-05-16 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY16SDSEA · as_of 2026-10-25T05:11:32Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-05-16 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY16SDSEA ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Padres vs Mariners Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Bullpen	bullpen	37	37	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.98	yes
Double Play	double play	74	68	0.92	YYYYYYYnYY	0.88	yes
Triple	triple	74	66	0.89	nYYYYYYYYY	0.87	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	70	62	0.89	YYYYYnYnYY	0.85	yes
T-Mobile Park	t mobile park	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.81	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	69	52	0.75	YYYYYnYnYY	0.72	no
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	37	27	0.73	nYYYYYYYYn	0.71	yes
MVP	mvp	73	52	0.71	nYnYYnYnYY	0.67	no
Error	error	74	51	0.69	YYYnYnYnYY	0.65	no
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	74	43	0.58	nYYYYnnYYn	0.57	yes
Walk Off	walk off	74	40	0.54	nYnYYYnYYn	0.53	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	74	39	0.53	nnYYnnnYYn	0.52	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	71	31	0.44	YYnnYnnYYn	0.44	yes
Extra Inning	extra inning	74	26	0.35	nnnYnnnYYn	0.36	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	74	20	0.27	nnYnnnnnYn	0.29	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	74	17	0.23	nYnnYnnYnn	0.25	no
Perfect Game	perfect game	37	8	0.22	nnnYYnnYYn	0.25	no
What a Catch	what a catch	74	5	0.07	nnnnnnnnnn	0.1	no