New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks
1-2Final
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: play-by-play or color 
Kalshi
KalshiWords
19 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | These teams | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bullpen | 28/28100% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | – | 100% n=11 | 97%n=28 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Double Play | 60/6592% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 88% n=8 | 94% n=32 | 89%n=65 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Triple | 57/6588% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes | 88% n=8 | 91% n=32 | 87%n=65 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Trade / Traded | 55/6190% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 88% n=8 | 91% n=32 | 87%n=61 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Bunt / Bunted | 45/6174% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 62% n=8 | 78% n=32 | 71%n=61 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Chase Field | 2/2100% | 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes | – | – | 71%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit | 19/2868% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes no yes no no no no | – | 91% n=11 | 69%n=28 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| MVP | 46/6472% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes no no no yes no | 100% n=8 | 72% n=32 | 69%n=64 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Error | 45/6569% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes no no yes yes yes | 62% n=8 | 75% n=32 | 65%n=65 from settlement history | No | – |
| Bases Loaded | 37/6557% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes yes yes no no no yes | 50% n=8 | 66% n=32 | 55%n=65 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Grand Slam | 35/6554% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes no yes no no no yes | 62% n=8 | 47% n=32 | 52%n=65 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Walk Off | 34/6552% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no yes no yes no no no | 50% n=8 | 41% n=32 | 52%n=65 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Ohtani | 27/6244% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no yes no no yes yes | 88% n=8 | 47% n=32 | 42%n=62 from settlement history | No | – |
| Extra Inning | 23/6535% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no no no no no | 38% n=8 | 31% n=32 | 37%n=65 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Wild Pitch | 18/6528% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 50% n=8 | 28% n=32 | 30%n=65 from settlement history | No | – |
| Pitch Clock | 14/6522% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no yes no no yes no | 38% n=8 | 22% n=32 | 24%n=65 from settlement history | No | – |
| Perfect Game | 4/2814% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes no no no no no no | – | 9% n=11 | 20%n=28 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| What a Catch | 5/658% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no yes no no no no | 0% n=8 | 12% n=32 | 11%n=65 from settlement history | No | – |
| Event does not qualify | 0/610% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 0% n=8 | 0% n=32 | – | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=mlb%3A2026-05-09%3Agame-nym-ari · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP