Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates
1-9Final
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: play-by-play or color
Kalshi
Words
19 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | These teams | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bullpen | 15/15100% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | – | – | 93%n=15 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Double Play | 49/5294% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 100% n=5 | 88% n=8 | 91%n=52 from settlement history | No | – |
| Triple | 45/5287% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes | 100% n=5 | 88% n=8 | 84%n=52 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Trade / Traded | 42/4888% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes yes | 60% n=5 | 100% n=8 | 84%n=48 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit | 12/1580% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes yes no yes yes | – | – | 74%n=15 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| MVP | 40/5178% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes no yes | 80% n=5 | 100% n=8 | 74%n=51 from settlement history | No | – |
| Bunt / Bunted | 33/4869% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no no yes yes yes no | 100% n=5 | 38% n=8 | 67%n=48 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Error | 37/5271% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no yes yes no no yes | 60% n=5 | 62% n=8 | 67%n=52 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| PNC Park | 1/1100% | 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes | – | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | Yes | – |
| Bases Loaded | 31/5260% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes yes no no no | 80% n=5 | 38% n=8 | 58%n=52 from settlement history | No | – |
| Grand Slam | 30/5258% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes no yes yes no yes | 80% n=5 | 50% n=8 | 56%n=52 from settlement history | No | – |
| Walk Off | 28/5254% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes no yes no yes yes no yes | 60% n=5 | 62% n=8 | 51%n=52 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Ohtani | 22/4945% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no yes yes yes no no no | 60% n=5 | 25% n=8 | 44%n=49 from settlement history | No | – |
| Extra Inning | 22/5242% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes no no yes no no | 40% n=5 | 50% n=8 | 42%n=52 from settlement history | No | – |
| Wild Pitch | 18/5235% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 60% n=5 | 50% n=8 | 36%n=52 from settlement history | No | – |
| Pitch Clock | 12/5223% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes no no no no no no | 40% n=5 | 25% n=8 | 25%n=52 from settlement history | No | – |
| Perfect Game | 2/1513% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no yes no no no no no | – | – | 20%n=15 from settlement history | No | – |
| What a Catch | 4/528% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no no yes no no no | 20% n=5 | 0% n=8 | 11%n=52 from settlement history | No | – |
| Event does not qualify | 0/480% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 0% n=5 | 0% n=8 | – | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=mlb%3A2026-05-01%3Agame-cin-pit · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP