# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-05-01 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY01CINPIT · as_of 2026-10-25T06:49:27Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-05-01 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26MAY01CINPIT ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Reds vs Pirates Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Bullpen	bullpen	15	15	1	YYYYYYYYYY	0.93	yes
Double Play	double play	52	49	0.94	YYYnYYYYYY	0.91	no
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	48	42	0.88	YYYYYYYnYY	0.84	yes
Triple	triple	52	45	0.87	YYYnYYYYYY	0.84	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	15	12	0.8	YYYnYYYnYY	0.74	yes
MVP	mvp	51	40	0.78	YYYYYYYnnY	0.74	no
Error	error	52	37	0.71	nYnnYYnnnY	0.67	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	47	33	0.7	YYnnnnYYYn	0.67	yes
PNC Park	pnc park	1	1	1	Y	0.66	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	52	31	0.6	YYYnYYYnnn	0.58	no
Grand Slam	grand slam	52	30	0.58	nYYnYnYYnY	0.56	no
Walk Off	walk off	52	28	0.54	YnYnnYYYnY	0.51	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	49	22	0.45	nnYnYYYnnn	0.44	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	52	22	0.42	nnYYYnYnnn	0.42	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	52	18	0.35	nnnnnnnnnn	0.36	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	52	12	0.23	nYYnnnnnnn	0.25	no
Perfect Game	perfect game	15	2	0.13	nnnnnnYnnn	0.2	no
What a Catch	what a catch	52	4	0.08	YnnnnnYnnn	0.11	no