Cleveland Guardians at Toronto Blue Jays
3-5Final
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: play-by-play or color 
Kalshi
KalshiWords
19 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | These teams | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double Play | 43/4693% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes | 91% n=11 | 92% n=24 | 92%n=46 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Bullpen | 9/9100% | 9/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | – | – | 88%n=9 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Triple | 39/4685% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no | 73% n=11 | 88% n=24 | 84%n=46 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Trade / Traded | 37/4288% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 71% n=7 | 88% n=24 | 84%n=42 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit | 7/978% | 7/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes yes no yes | – | – | 78%n=9 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| MVP | 36/4580% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no no yes yes yes yes | 80% n=10 | 75% n=24 | 75%n=45 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Bunt / Bunted | 30/4271% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no no | 86% n=7 | 83% n=24 | 74%n=42 from settlement history | No | – |
| Error | 34/4674% | 6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes no no yes no no | 82% n=11 | 79% n=24 | 73%n=46 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Roger Centre | 2/2100% | 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes | – | – | 73%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Bases Loaded | 28/4661% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes | 55% n=11 | 67% n=24 | 61%n=46 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Grand Slam | 26/4657% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes no yes yes no | 45% n=11 | 46% n=24 | 55%n=46 from settlement history | No | – |
| Walk Off | 24/4652% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes yes yes no yes no | 64% n=11 | 42% n=24 | 50%n=46 from settlement history | No | – |
| Ohtani | 19/4344% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes no no no no yes no | 38% n=8 | 46% n=24 | 43%n=43 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Wild Pitch | 18/4639% | 3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes no no no no no no | 27% n=11 | 38% n=24 | 43%n=46 from settlement history | No | – |
| Extra Inning | 20/4643% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes no no yes yes | 45% n=11 | 38% n=24 | 42%n=46 from settlement history | No | – |
| Pitch Clock | 12/4626% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no yes no yes no yes | 27% n=11 | 25% n=24 | 29%n=46 from settlement history | No | – |
| Perfect Game | 1/911% | 1/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no no no no | – | – | 27%n=9 from settlement history | No | – |
| What a Catch | 3/467% | 1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no yes no no no | 9% n=11 | 12% n=24 | 10%n=46 from settlement history | No | – |
| Event does not qualify | 0/420% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 0% n=7 | 0% n=24 | – | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=mlb%3A2026-04-25%3Agame-cle-tor · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP