Baltimore Orioles at Kansas City Royals
7-5Final (OT)
History only on Kalshi: sports mention markets paused 31 Jul 2026 Kalshi: play-by-play or color 
Kalshi
KalshiWords
19 words · history before this game| Word | League | Last 10 | These teams | Network | Probability | Result | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double Play | 39/4195% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 100% n=5 | 90% n=21 | 92%n=41 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Triple | 35/4185% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 80% n=5 | 86% n=21 | 83%n=41 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Trade / Traded | 32/3786% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 100% n=5 | 86% n=21 | 83%n=37 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Bullpen | 4/4100% | 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes | – | – | 81%n=4 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| MVP | 32/4080% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no | 100% n=5 | 76% n=21 | 77%n=40 from settlement history | No | – |
| Error | 33/4180% | 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes | 100% n=5 | 86% n=21 | 76%n=41 from settlement history | No | – |
| Kauffman Stadium | 2/2100% | 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes | – | – | 73%n=2 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Bunt / Bunted | 27/3773% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes no yes yes yes yes yes | 60% n=5 | 81% n=21 | 72%n=37 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit | 3/475% | 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes | – | – | 61%n=4 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Bases Loaded | 24/4159% | 8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes | 60% n=5 | 62% n=21 | 57%n=41 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Grand Slam | 23/4156% | 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no yes no yes yes yes yes | 80% n=5 | 43% n=21 | 55%n=41 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Walk Off | 21/4151% | 9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no yes | 40% n=5 | 38% n=21 | 49%n=41 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Ohtani | 18/3847% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes no no yes yes no | 20% n=5 | 52% n=21 | 48%n=38 from settlement history | No | – |
| Wild Pitch | 18/4144% | 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no yes yes yes no yes no | 40% n=5 | 43% n=21 | 46%n=41 from settlement history | No | – |
| Extra Inning | 17/4141% | 4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no yes yes no yes yes | 0% n=5 | 38% n=21 | 42%n=41 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| Perfect Game | 1/425% | 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no | – | – | 39%n=4 from settlement history | No | – |
| Pitch Clock | 9/4122% | 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no no yes no no no | 20% n=5 | 19% n=21 | 25%n=41 from settlement history | Yes | – |
| What a Catch | 2/415% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 0% n=5 | 10% n=21 | 9%n=41 from settlement history | No | – |
| Event does not qualify | 0/370% | 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no | 0% n=5 | 0% n=21 | – | No | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?appearance=mlb%3A2026-04-20%3Agame-bal-kc · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP