# MLB (mlb) · game 2026-04-20 · 18 words · K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR20BALKC · as_of 2026-10-25T15:55:17Z
# scope K pbp_or_color · n/y settled before 2026-04-20 · tn/th blank: no game transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXMLBMENTION-26APR20BALKC ({word} = w of K rows): If the play by play or color commentator(s) says {word} as part of Baltimore vs Kansas City Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Double Play	double play	41	39	0.95	YYYYYYYYYY	0.92	yes
Trade / Traded	trade|traded	37	32	0.86	YYYYYYYYYY	0.83	yes
Triple	triple	41	35	0.85	YnYYYYYYYY	0.83	yes
Bullpen	bullpen	4	4	1	YYYY	0.81	yes
MVP	mvp	40	32	0.8	nnYYYYYYYn	0.77	no
Error	error	41	33	0.8	YYYYYYYYYY	0.76	no
Kauffman Stadium	kauffman stadium	2	2	1	YY	0.73	yes
Bunt / Bunted	bunt|bunted	36	27	0.75	YYnYnYYYYY	0.72	yes
Pinch Hitter / Pinch Hit	pinch hit|pinch hitter	4	3	0.75	YYnY	0.61	yes
Bases Loaded	bases loaded	41	24	0.59	YnYYYYnYYY	0.57	yes
Grand Slam	grand slam	41	23	0.56	YnnnYYnYYY	0.55	yes
Walk Off	walk off	41	21	0.51	nnYYYYYYnY	0.49	yes
Ohtani	ohtani	38	18	0.47	nYYYYnnYYn	0.48	no
Wild Pitch	wild pitch	41	18	0.44	nnnnYYYnYn	0.46	no
Extra Inning	extra inning	41	17	0.41	YYnnnYYnYY	0.42	yes
Perfect Game	perfect game	4	1	0.25	nYnn	0.39	no
Pitch Clock	pitch clock	41	9	0.22	nYYnnYnnnn	0.25	yes
What a Catch	what a catch	41	2	0.05	nnnnnnnnnn	0.09	no