Gianni Infantino
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 38 word markets on Gianni Infantino’s appearances since 2025, on 24 different words.
History Wall
1–24 of 24, most settled first| Word | Dec 5 ’25remarks | Mar 27 ’26keynote | Apr 15latest | Last 3 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soccer | Settled yes: Soccer, Dec 5 ’25 remarks | Settled yes: Soccer, Mar 27 ’26 keynote | Settled yes: Soccer, Apr 15 keynote | 3/3100% | 3/3100% | 58%n=3 from settlement history |
| Globe / Global | Settled yes: Globe / Global, Dec 5 ’25 remarks | Settled no: Globe / Global, Mar 27 ’26 keynote | Settled yes: Globe / Global, Apr 15 keynote | 2/367% | 2/367% | 48%n=3 from settlement history |
| Peace | Settled yes: Peace, Dec 5 ’25 remarks | Settled no: Peace, Mar 27 ’26 keynote | Settled yes: Peace, Apr 15 keynote | 2/367% | 2/367% | 48%n=3 from settlement history |
| Gaza | Settled yes: Gaza, Dec 5 ’25 remarks | Settled no: Gaza, Mar 27 ’26 keynote | Settled no: Gaza, Apr 15 keynote | 1/333% | 1/333% | 38%n=3 from settlement history |
| Trump | Settled yes: Trump, Dec 5 ’25 remarks | Settled no: Trump, Mar 27 ’26 keynote | Settled no: Trump, Apr 15 keynote | 1/333% | 1/333% | 38%n=3 from settlement history |
| Billion | Settled yes: Billion, Dec 5 ’25 remarks | Not listed: Billion, Mar 27 ’26 keynote | Settled yes: Billion, Apr 15 keynote | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | 54%n=2 from settlement history |
| Mexico | Not listed: Mexico, Dec 5 ’25 remarks | Settled yes: Mexico, Mar 27 ’26 keynote | Settled yes: Mexico, Apr 15 keynote | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | 56%n=2 from settlement history |
| Economy / Economic | Settled no: Economy / Economic, Dec 5 ’25 remarks | Settled yes: Economy / Economic, Mar 27 ’26 keynote | Not listed: Economy / Economic, Apr 15 keynote | 1/250% | 1/250% | 48%n=2 from settlement history |
| Investment / Invested | Not listed: Investment / Invested, Dec 5 ’25 remarks | Settled no: Investment / Invested, Mar 27 ’26 keynote | Settled yes: Investment / Invested, Apr 15 keynote | 1/250% | 1/250% | 46%n=2 from settlement history |
| Middle East | Settled yes: Middle East, Dec 5 ’25 remarks | Not listed: Middle East, Mar 27 ’26 keynote | Not listed: Middle East, Apr 15 keynote | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| 250 | Not listed: 250, Dec 5 ’25 remarks | Settled no: 250, Mar 27 ’26 keynote | Not listed: 250, Apr 15 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Depression / Anxiety | Not listed: Depression / Anxiety, Dec 5 ’25 remarks | Not listed: Depression / Anxiety, Mar 27 ’26 keynote | Settled no: Depression / Anxiety, Apr 15 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| FIFPRO | Not listed: FIFPRO, Dec 5 ’25 remarks | Not listed: FIFPRO, Mar 27 ’26 keynote | Settled no: FIFPRO, Apr 15 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| History | Settled no: History, Dec 5 ’25 remarks | Not listed: History, Mar 27 ’26 keynote | Not listed: History, Apr 15 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Investment | Settled no: Investment, Dec 5 ’25 remarks | Not listed: Investment, Mar 27 ’26 keynote | Not listed: Investment, Apr 15 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Iran | Not listed: Iran, Dec 5 ’25 remarks | Settled no: Iran, Mar 27 ’26 keynote | Not listed: Iran, Apr 15 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Israel | Settled no: Israel, Dec 5 ’25 remarks | Not listed: Israel, Mar 27 ’26 keynote | Not listed: Israel, Apr 15 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Mental Health | Not listed: Mental Health, Dec 5 ’25 remarks | Not listed: Mental Health, Mar 27 ’26 keynote | Settled no: Mental Health, Apr 15 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Messi | Settled no: Messi, Dec 5 ’25 remarks | Not listed: Messi, Mar 27 ’26 keynote | Not listed: Messi, Apr 15 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Nobel | Settled no: Nobel, Dec 5 ’25 remarks | Not listed: Nobel, Mar 27 ’26 keynote | Not listed: Nobel, Apr 15 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Palestine | Settled no: Palestine, Dec 5 ’25 remarks | Not listed: Palestine, Mar 27 ’26 keynote | Not listed: Palestine, Apr 15 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Ronaldo | Settled no: Ronaldo, Dec 5 ’25 remarks | Not listed: Ronaldo, Mar 27 ’26 keynote | Not listed: Ronaldo, Apr 15 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Saudi | Not listed: Saudi, Dec 5 ’25 remarks | Settled no: Saudi, Mar 27 ’26 keynote | Not listed: Saudi, Apr 15 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| World War | Settled no: World War, Dec 5 ’25 remarks | Not listed: World War, Mar 27 ’26 keynote | Not listed: World War, Apr 15 keynote | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 3Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2026 | KeynoteWhat will Gianni Infantino say during Semafor World Economy 2026? | no transcript | 12 | 6 yes · 6 no | – |
| Mar 27, 2026 | KeynoteWhat will Gianni Infantino say during his remarks at the FII Priority Summit? | no transcript | 12 | 3 yes · 9 no | – |
| Dec 5, 2025 | RemarksWhat will Gianni Infantino say during the World Cup Draw? | no transcript | 16 | 7 yes · 9 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Gianni Infantino: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/sports/gianni-infantino (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/gianni-infantino · words: /api/v1/history?entity=gianni-infantino · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP