Gianni Infantino: Keynote, Apr 15, 2026
Kalshi What will Gianni Infantino say during Semafor World Economy 2026?
Markets
11 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Soccer | Yes | 59%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Mexico | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Billion | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Globe / Global | Yes | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Peace | Yes | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Investment / Invested | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Depression / Anxiety | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| FIFPRO | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mental Health | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gaza | No | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. Sports broadcasts are tracked by their settled markets; there is no transcript for games.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXINFANTINOMENTION-26APR15 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP