Tony Gonzales
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 8 word markets on Tony Gonzales’ appearances since 2026, on 8 different words.
History Wall
1–8 of 8, most settled first| Word | Feb 9latest | Last 1 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | 2 times: Biden, Feb 9 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Democrat | 1 time: Democrat, Feb 9 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| ICE / National Guard | 6 times: ICE / National Guard, Feb 9 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Illegal Alien | 1 time: Illegal Alien, Feb 9 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | 2 times: Immigrant / Immigration, Feb 9 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Kristi / Noem | 3 times: Kristi / Noem, Feb 9 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Trump | 1 time: Trump, Feb 9 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Border | 0 times: Border, Feb 9 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 1Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | EpisodeMention: Tony Gonzales on Face the Nation | Official transcript | 8 | 7 yes · 1 no | 8/8 (100%) |
Citeparrot.markets, “Tony Gonzales: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/tony-gonzales (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/tony-gonzales · words: /api/v1/history?entity=tony-gonzales · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP