Steve Scalise
As of Oct 25, 2026, Kalshi has settled 12 word markets on Steve Scalise’s appearances since 2026, on 12 different words.
History Wall
1–12 of 12, most settled first| Word | Jan 27latest | Last 1 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | 2 times: Biden, Jan 27 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Border | 1 time: Border, Jan 27 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Democrat | 1 time: Democrat, Jan 27 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| ICE / National Guard | 16 times: ICE / National Guard, Jan 27 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Trump | 5 times: Trump, Jan 27 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Budget / Spending | 0 times: Budget / Spending, Jan 27 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Economy / Economic | 0 times: Economy / Economic, Jan 27 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Gas / Gasoline | 0 times: Gas / Gasoline, Jan 27 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Greenland | 0 times: Greenland, Jan 27 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Impeach | 0 times: Impeach, Jan 27 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Inflation | 0 times: Inflation, Jan 27 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Jan 27 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 1Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Steve Scalise say during Face the Nation? | Official transcript | 12 | 5 yes · 7 no | 12/12 (100%) |
Citeparrot.markets, “Steve Scalise: mention market word history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/steve-scalise (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/steve-scalise · words: /api/v1/history?entity=steve-scalise · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP