Robert Garcia

Politics · CongressPersonHistory onlyUpdated
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As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 22 word markets on Robert Garcia’s appearances since 2026, on 18 different words.

History Wall

1–18 of 18, most settled first
Robert Garcia: every word with settled markets, most settled first
WordMar 7episodeApr 14latestLast 2SettledProbability
EpsteinSettled yes: Epstein, Mar 7 episodeSettled yes: Epstein, Apr 14 episode2/2100%2/2100%–
RepublicanSettled yes: Republican, Mar 7 episodeSettled yes: Republican, Apr 14 episode2/2100%2/2100%–
TrumpSettled yes: Trump, Mar 7 episodeSettled yes: Trump, Apr 14 episode2/2100%2/2100%–
Iran / IranianSettled no: Iran / Iranian, Mar 7 episodeSettled no: Iran / Iranian, Apr 14 episode0/20%0/20%–
Todd / BlancheNot listed: Todd / Blanche, Mar 7 episodeSettled yes: Todd / Blanche, Apr 14 episode1/1100%1/1100%–
Pam / BondiNot listed: Pam / Bondi, Mar 7 episodeSettled yes: Pam / Bondi, Apr 14 episode1/1100%1/1100%–
Corrupt / CorruptionSettled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, Mar 7 episodeNot listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Apr 14 episode1/1100%1/1100%–
HoaxNot listed: Hoax, Mar 7 episodeSettled yes: Hoax, Apr 14 episode1/1100%1/1100%–
MelaniaNot listed: Melania, Mar 7 episodeSettled yes: Melania, Apr 14 episode1/1100%1/1100%–
Afford / Affordable / AffordabilitySettled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Mar 7 episodeNot listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Apr 14 episode0/10%0/10%–
BipartisanNot listed: Bipartisan, Mar 7 episodeSettled no: Bipartisan, Apr 14 episode0/10%0/10%–
ElectionSettled no: Election, Mar 7 episodeNot listed: Election, Apr 14 episode0/10%0/10%–
FraudSettled no: Fraud, Mar 7 episodeNot listed: Fraud, Apr 14 episode0/10%0/10%–
Oil / Gas / GasolineNot listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Mar 7 episodeSettled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Apr 14 episode0/10%0/10%–
ICE / National GuardSettled no: ICE / National Guard, Mar 7 episodeNot listed: ICE / National Guard, Apr 14 episode0/10%0/10%–
Kristi / NoemSettled no: Kristi / Noem, Mar 7 episodeNot listed: Kristi / Noem, Apr 14 episode0/10%0/10%–
Renee / PrettiSettled no: Renee / Pretti, Mar 7 episodeNot listed: Renee / Pretti, Apr 14 episode0/10%0/10%–
Shutdown / Shut DownNot listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Mar 7 episodeSettled no: Shutdown / Shut Down, Apr 14 episode0/10%0/10%–
  • Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
  • N: settled no
  • not listed
  • probability next time, with n
  • Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Settled
every settled market of the word: said / listed
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Appearances and settled record

latest 2

Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.

Recent appearances and how their listed words settled
DateAppearanceTextWordsSettledOur count agreed
Apr 14, 2026EpisodeWhat will Robert Garcia say during The Weeknight?no transcript127 yes · 5 no–
Mar 7, 2026EpisodeWhat will Robert Garcia say during his MS NOW interview?no transcript114 yes · 7 no–

Citeparrot.markets, “Robert Garcia: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/robert-garcia (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/robert-garcia · words: /api/v1/history?entity=robert-garcia · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP