Richard Blumenthal
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 10 word markets on Richard Blumenthal’s appearances since 2026, on 10 different words.
History Wall
1–10 of 10, most settled first| Word | Aug 30latest | Last 1 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICE | 2 times: ICE, Aug 30 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Russia / Russian | 3 times: Russia / Russian, Aug 30 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Sanction / Tariff | 4 times: Sanction / Tariff, Aug 30 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Ukraine / Ukrainian | 4 times: Ukraine / Ukrainian, Aug 30 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 0 times: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Aug 30 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | 0 times: Corrupt / Corruption, Aug 30 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Election | 0 times: Election, Aug 30 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | 0 times: Immigrant / Immigration, Aug 30 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Republican | 0 times: Republican, Aug 30 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Trump | 0 times: Trump, Aug 30 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 1Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Richard Blumenthal say during Face the Nation? | Official transcript | 11 | 4 yes · 7 no | 10/10 (100%) |
Citeparrot.markets, “Richard Blumenthal: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/richard-blumenthal (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/richard-blumenthal · words: /api/v1/history?entity=richard-blumenthal · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP