Lee Zeldin

Politics · VP & cabinetPersonTrump administrationHistory onlyUpdated Oct 23, 2026, 23:56 UTC

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As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 27 word markets on Lee Zeldin’s appearances since 2026, on 20 different words.

History Wall

1–21 of 21, most settled first

Lee Zeldin: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Apr 16keynote	Apr 27latest	Last 2	Settled	Probability
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	YSettled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Apr 16 keynote	YSettled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Apr 27 hearing	2/2100%	2/2100%	57%n=2 from settlement history
Climate	YSettled yes: Climate, Apr 16 keynote	YSettled yes: Climate, Apr 27 hearing	2/2100%	2/2100%	57%n=2 from settlement history
AI / Artificial Intelligence	YSettled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Apr 16 keynote	NSettled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Apr 27 hearing	1/250%	1/250%	42%n=2 from settlement history
China / Chinese	NSettled no: China / Chinese, Apr 16 keynote	YSettled yes: China / Chinese, Apr 27 hearing	1/250%	1/250%	47%n=2 from settlement history
Nuclear	NSettled no: Nuclear, Apr 16 keynote	NSettled no: Nuclear, Apr 27 hearing	0/20%	0/20%	32%n=2 from settlement history
Windmill	NSettled no: Windmill, Apr 16 keynote	NSettled no: Windmill, Apr 27 hearing	0/20%	0/20%	32%n=2 from settlement history
Biden	–Not listed: Biden, Apr 16 keynote	YSettled yes: Biden, Apr 27 hearing	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
EV / Electric Vehicle	–Not listed: EV / Electric Vehicle, Apr 16 keynote	YSettled yes: EV / Electric Vehicle, Apr 27 hearing	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Emission	YSettled yes: Emission, Apr 16 keynote	–Not listed: Emission, Apr 27 hearing	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Trump	YSettled yes: Trump, Apr 16 keynote	–Not listed: Trump, Apr 27 hearing	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Trump3+ times	–Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Apr 16 keynote	YSettled yes: Trump (3+ times), Apr 27 hearing	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
America First	–Not listed: America First, Apr 16 keynote	NSettled no: America First, Apr 27 hearing	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
American Dream	NSettled no: American Dream, Apr 16 keynote	–Not listed: American Dream, Apr 27 hearing	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Obama / Biden	NSettled no: Obama / Biden, Apr 16 keynote	–Not listed: Obama / Biden, Apr 27 hearing	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Data Center	–Not listed: Data Center, Apr 16 keynote	NSettled no: Data Center, Apr 27 hearing	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Democrat	NSettled no: Democrat, Apr 16 keynote	–Not listed: Democrat, Apr 27 hearing	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Drill Baby Drill	–Not listed: Drill Baby Drill, Apr 16 keynote	NSettled no: Drill Baby Drill, Apr 27 hearing	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	NSettled no: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Apr 16 keynote	–Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Apr 27 hearing	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Iran / Hormuz	–Not listed: Iran / Hormuz, Apr 16 keynote	NSettled no: Iran / Hormuz, Apr 27 hearing	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
NOAA	–Not listed: NOAA, Apr 16 keynote	NSettled no: NOAA, Apr 27 hearing	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Pollution	–Not listed: Pollution, Apr 16 keynote	NSettled no: Pollution, Apr 27 hearing	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability

• Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
• N: settled no
• not listed
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Settled

every settled market of the word: said / listed

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Citeparrot.markets, “Lee Zeldin: mention market word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/lee-zeldin (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/lee-zeldin · words: /api/v1/history?entity=lee-zeldin · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP