Lee Zeldin: Hearing, Apr 27, 2026
Kalshi What will Lee Zeldin say during the EPA Budget Hearing?
Markets
15 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Climate | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| EV / Electric Vehicle | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biden | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| China / Chinese | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| America First | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Data Center | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Drill Baby Drill | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Iran / Hormuz | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NOAA | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pollution | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nuclear | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Windmill | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHEARINGMENTION-26APR27B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP