Hillary Clinton: Speech, Aug 19, 2024

Mon, Aug 19SpeechHistory onlyHillary Clinton

Updated

Markets

9 words · 0 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Convicted felon No–new new word, no probability yet–
Deplorable No–new new word, no probability yet–
Email No–new new word, no probability yet–
I'm with her No–new new word, no probability yet–
Palestine No–new new word, no probability yet–
Pokemon Go No–new new word, no probability yet–
Putin No–new new word, no probability yet–
Sexist No–new new word, no probability yet–
Woman president No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.

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