Greg Abbott

Politics · Governors & mayorsPersonHistory onlyUpdated Oct 24, 2026, 06:02 UTC

Export

Copy

---

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnarOpen as Markdowntable

GET /api/v1/entity/greg-abbott

As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 22 word markets on Greg Abbott’s appearances since 2026, on 19 different words.

History Wall

1–19 of 19, most settled first

Greg Abbott: every word with settled markets, most settled first

Word	Mar 27speech	Sep 10latest	Last 2	Settled	Probability
Border	YSettled yes: Border, Mar 27 speech	YSettled yes: Border, Sep 10 speech	2/2100%	2/2100%	63%n=2 from settlement history
Democrat	YSettled yes: Democrat, Mar 27 speech	YSettled yes: Democrat, Sep 10 speech	2/2100%	2/2100%	63%n=2 from settlement history
Immigrant / Immigration	YSettled yes: Immigrant / Immigration, Mar 27 speech	YSettled yes: Immigrant / Immigration, Sep 10 speech	2/2100%	2/2100%	63%n=2 from settlement history
Iran	YSettled yes: Iran, Mar 27 speech	–Not listed: Iran, Sep 10 speech	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Sanctuary	–Not listed: Sanctuary, Mar 27 speech	YSettled yes: Sanctuary, Sep 10 speech	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
School Choice	–Not listed: School Choice, Mar 27 speech	YSettled yes: School Choice, Sep 10 speech	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Tax	–Not listed: Tax, Mar 27 speech	YSettled yes: Tax, Sep 10 speech	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Trump	–Not listed: Trump, Mar 27 speech	YSettled yes: Trump, Sep 10 speech	1/1100%	1/1100%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Data Center	–Not listed: Data Center, Mar 27 speech	NSettled no: Data Center, Sep 10 speech	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Economy / Economic	NSettled no: Economy / Economic, Mar 27 speech	–Not listed: Economy / Economic, Sep 10 speech	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Fraud	NSettled no: Fraud, Mar 27 speech	–Not listed: Fraud, Sep 10 speech	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
ICE	–Not listed: ICE, Mar 27 speech	NSettled no: ICE, Sep 10 speech	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
ICE / TSA	NSettled no: ICE / TSA, Mar 27 speech	–Not listed: ICE / TSA, Sep 10 speech	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Oil	NSettled no: Oil, Mar 27 speech	–Not listed: Oil, Sep 10 speech	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Paxton	–Not listed: Paxton, Mar 27 speech	NSettled no: Paxton, Sep 10 speech	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Shutdown / Shut Down	NSettled no: Shutdown / Shut Down, Mar 27 speech	–Not listed: Shutdown / Shut Down, Sep 10 speech	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Socialist / Socialism	–Not listed: Socialist / Socialism, Mar 27 speech	NSettled no: Socialist / Socialism, Sep 10 speech	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Talarico	–Not listed: Talarico, Mar 27 speech	NSettled no: Talarico, Sep 10 speech	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability
Taxpayer	NSettled no: Taxpayer, Mar 27 speech	–Not listed: Taxpayer, Sep 10 speech	0/10%	0/10%	–n=1 too little history for a probability

• Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
• N: settled no
• not listed
• probability next time, with n
• Select a word or a cell for its quotes

What the columns mean

Last N

of the appearances shown, how many counted as said

Settled

every settled market of the word: said / listed

Probability

the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Citeparrot.markets, “Greg Abbott: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/greg-abbott (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/greg-abbott · words: /api/v1/history?entity=greg-abbott · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP