Beto O'Rourke
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 34 word markets on Beto O'Rourke’s appearances since 2026, on 22 different words.
History Wall
1–22 of 22, most settled first| Word | Mar 5episode | May 27episode | Aug 24latest | Last 3 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Settled yes: Trump, Mar 5 episode | Settled yes: Trump, May 27 episode | 3 times: Trump, Aug 24 episode, counts as said | 3/3100% | 3/3100% | – |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | Settled no: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Mar 5 episode | Settled no: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, May 27 episode | 0 times: Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement, Aug 24 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | – |
| Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting | Settled no: Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting, Mar 5 episode | Settled no: Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting, May 27 episode | 0 times: Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting, Aug 24 episode | 0/30% | 0/30% | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Mar 5 episode | Settled yes: Corrupt / Corruption, May 27 episode | 3 times: Corrupt / Corruption, Aug 24 episode, counts as said | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Not listed: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Mar 5 episode | Settled yes: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, May 27 episode | 1 time: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Aug 24 episode, counts as said | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | – |
| James / Talarico | Not listed: James / Talarico, Mar 5 episode | Settled yes: James / Talarico, May 27 episode | 8 times: James / Talarico, Aug 24 episode, counts as said | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | – |
| Republican | Settled yes: Republican, Mar 5 episode | Settled yes: Republican, May 27 episode | Not listed: Republican, Aug 24 episode | 2/2100% | 2/2100% | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Mar 5 episode | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, May 27 episode | 1 time: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Aug 24 episode, counts as said | 1/250% | 1/250% | – |
| Ted / Cruz | Not listed: Ted / Cruz, Mar 5 episode | Settled no: Ted / Cruz, May 27 episode | 2 times: Ted / Cruz, Aug 24 episode, counts as said | 1/250% | 1/250% | – |
| ICE / Border | Settled yes: ICE / Border, Mar 5 episode | Not listed: ICE / Border, May 27 episode | Not listed: ICE / Border, Aug 24 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional | Settled yes: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Mar 5 episode | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, May 27 episode | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Aug 24 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Democrat / Democratic | Not listed: Democrat / Democratic, Mar 5 episode | Not listed: Democrat / Democratic, May 27 episode | 4 times: Democrat / Democratic, Aug 24 episode, counts as said | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Election | Not listed: Election, Mar 5 episode | Settled yes: Election, May 27 episode | Not listed: Election, Aug 24 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Ken / Paxton | Not listed: Ken / Paxton, Mar 5 episode | Settled yes: Ken / Paxton, May 27 episode | Not listed: Ken / Paxton, Aug 24 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Talarico | Settled yes: Talarico, Mar 5 episode | Not listed: Talarico, May 27 episode | Not listed: Talarico, Aug 24 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Texas | Settled yes: Texas, Mar 5 episode | Not listed: Texas, May 27 episode | Not listed: Texas, Aug 24 episode | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Data Center | Not listed: Data Center, Mar 5 episode | Not listed: Data Center, May 27 episode | 0 times: Data Center, Aug 24 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| ICE / Immigrant / Immigration | Not listed: ICE / Immigrant / Immigration, Mar 5 episode | Not listed: ICE / Immigrant / Immigration, May 27 episode | 0 times: ICE / Immigrant / Immigration, Aug 24 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Impeach / Impeached / Impeachment | Not listed: Impeach / Impeached / Impeachment, Mar 5 episode | Settled no: Impeach / Impeached / Impeachment, May 27 episode | Not listed: Impeach / Impeached / Impeachment, Aug 24 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Iran | Settled no: Iran, Mar 5 episode | Not listed: Iran, May 27 episode | Not listed: Iran, Aug 24 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, Mar 5 episode | Not listed: Iran / Iranian, May 27 episode | 1 time: Iran / Iranian, Aug 24 episode, counts as said (our count 1 · the market settled no) | 1/1100% | 0/10% | – |
| Prison / Jail | Not listed: Prison / Jail, Mar 5 episode | Settled no: Prison / Jail, May 27 episode | Not listed: Prison / Jail, Aug 24 episode | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 3Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Beto O'Rourke say during All in with Chris Hayes? | Captions · machine-attributed | 13 | 7 yes · 6 no | 11/12 (92%) |
| May 27, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Beto O'Rourke say during The Briefing with Jen Psaki? | no transcript | 13 | 7 yes · 6 no | – |
| Mar 5, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Beto O'Rourke say during his MS NOW interview? | no transcript | 10 | 6 yes · 4 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Beto O'Rourke: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/beto-orourke (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/beto-orourke · words: /api/v1/history?entity=beto-orourke · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP