Will Clear say “Medicare / Medicaid”?
Clear said “Medicare / Medicaid” 3 times on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 2, 2, 1, 7, 3 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Clear said “Medicare / Medicaid” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 80% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Clear
Medicare / Medicaid
- Probability
- 80% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…that foundation with a multilayer validation for higher-risk use cases such as Medicare. Helix represents our highest level of identity confidence, rooted in witness verification…
…those types. The key to that data interoperability is identity. You see healthcare and fraud, waste and abuse from a Medicare and a Medicaid opportunity.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
7 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 7 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…with an executive order trying to reduce fraud. While we've started in Medicare, there's Social Security, there's IRS, right? There's so many places where you…
…You know, CMS was originally, you know, part of reducing fraud in Medicare. I think what you're seeing in CMS is the focus there is…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…to identity is winning. Working to reduce fraud, waste, and abuse in Medicare by building an identity interoperability layer is a testament to our opportunity…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Medicare / Medicaid |  Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How many times did Clear say “Medicare / Medicaid” on its last earnings call?
- Clear said “Medicare / Medicaid” 3 times on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 2, 2, 1, 7, 3 times.
- How often does Clear say “Medicare / Medicaid”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Clear said “Medicare / Medicaid” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Clear says “Medicare / Medicaid” next time?
- 80%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Clear: ‘Medicare / Medicaid’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/YOU/words/medicaid-or-medicare (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=clear&word=medicaid%20%2F%20medicare · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=clear&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP