Clear (YOU)
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 13 word markets on Clear’s earnings calls since 2026, on 13 different words. Next call: Nov 4, 2026 (11 words listed).
Next: Earnings call ·
11 words listed · Occasion page
Who counts: Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi| Word | Q3’24Nov '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25year ago | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26May '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Medicare / Medicaid | 0 times: Medicare / Medicaid, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Medicare / Medicaid, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Medicare / Medicaid, Q1’25 May '25 | 2 times: Medicare / Medicaid, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 2 times: Medicare / Medicaid, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: Medicare / Medicaid, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 7 times: Medicare / Medicaid, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 3 times: Medicare / Medicaid, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 5/862% | 4/850% | 5/2124% | 80%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Agent / Agentic | 0 times: Agent / Agentic, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Agent / Agentic, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Agent / Agentic, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Agent / Agentic, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Agent / Agentic, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Agent / Agentic, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 4 times: Agent / Agentic, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 6 times: Agent / Agentic, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 2/825% | 2/825% | 3/2114% | 70%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| GovTech | 0 times: GovTech, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: GovTech, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: GovTech, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: GovTech, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: GovTech, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 1 time: GovTech, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 3 times: GovTech, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 4 times: GovTech, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 2/825% | 3/2114% | 69%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| AMEX / American Express | 1 time: AMEX / American Express, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 1 time: AMEX / American Express, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: AMEX / American Express, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: AMEX / American Express, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 4 times: AMEX / American Express, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 10 times: AMEX / American Express, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: AMEX / American Express, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: AMEX / American Express, Q2’26 Aug '26 | rising | 5/862% | 2/825% | 14/2167% | 62%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 3 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 9 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q2’26 Aug '26 | rising | 3/838% | 1/812% | 3/2114% | 55%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| TSA PreCheck | 7 times: TSA PreCheck, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 6 times: TSA PreCheck, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 6 times: TSA PreCheck, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 3 times: TSA PreCheck, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 2 times: TSA PreCheck, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: TSA PreCheck, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: TSA PreCheck, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: TSA PreCheck, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 6/875% | 6/875% | 18/2186% | 40%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| REAL ID | 0 times: REAL ID, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: REAL ID, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 6 times: REAL ID, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 5 times: REAL ID, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: REAL ID, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: REAL ID, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 1 time: REAL ID, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: REAL ID, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 3/838% | 2/825% | 3/2114% | 24%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Social Security | 0 times: Social Security, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Social Security, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Social Security, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Social Security, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Social Security, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Social Security, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 2 times: Social Security, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Social Security, Q2’26 Aug '26 | rising | 1/812% | 0/80% | 1/215% | 23%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Home Depot | 4 times: Home Depot, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: Home Depot, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Home Depot, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Home Depot, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Home Depot, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Home Depot, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 1 time: Home Depot, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Home Depot, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 2/825% | 1/812% | 3/2114% | 22%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| FedRAMP | 0 times: FedRAMP, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: FedRAMP, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: FedRAMP, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: FedRAMP, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: FedRAMP, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: FedRAMP, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 1 time: FedRAMP, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: FedRAMP, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 1/215% | 19%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Samsungnever said | 0 times: Samsung, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Samsung, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Samsung, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Samsung, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Samsung, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Samsung, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Samsung, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Samsung, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/210% | 11%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 22, 2026 23:32 UTC.
Every word
1–2 of 2, most settled first| Word | Q3’24Nov '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25Nov '25 | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26May '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Epic | 0 times: Epic, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Epic, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 1 time: Epic, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 2 times: Epic, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 3 times: Epic, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: Epic, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Epic, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Epic, Q2’26 Aug '26 | rising | 5/862% | 2/825% | 5/2124% | 44%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| World Cup | 0 times: World Cup, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 1 time: World Cup, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 1 time: World Cup, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 4 times: World Cup, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 4 times: World Cup, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: World Cup, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 2 times: World Cup, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: World Cup, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 5/862% | 3/838% | 5/2124% | 47%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 13 of 13 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 13 | 3 yes · 10 no | 13/13 (100%) |
| May 6, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 8, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 6, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 8, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 8, 2023 | Earnings call FY23 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Clear (YOU): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/YOU (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/clear · words: /api/v1/history?entity=clear · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP