Will United Airlines say “Union”?

United Airlines did not say “Union” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, United Airlines said “Union” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 25% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

25%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=4counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

United Airlines

Union

Probability
25% · n=4
Settled
2/4 (50%)
Last calls
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 16, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 21, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Brett HartcompanypreparedIn transcript

…labor, we are currently in active negotiations with 4 of our labor unions. We look forward to reaching industry-leading contracts with these groups, and we'll…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 16, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Scott KirbycompanypreparedIn transcript

…because most of our expense is in areas we can't control, like union contracts, airport fees, fuel, et cetera, or by adding utilization flying late…

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 17, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 16, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 22, 2025 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 16, 2026UnionKalshiNo0
Apr 22, 2026UnionKalshiNo0
Jan 21, 2026UnionPolymarketYes1
Jan 21, 2026UnionKalshiYes1
Oct 16, 2025UnionKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did United Airlines say “Union” on its last earnings call?
United Airlines did not say “Union” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does United Airlines say “Union”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, United Airlines said “Union” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jan 21, 2026.
What is the probability United Airlines says “Union” next time?
25%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “United Airlines: ‘Union’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/UAL/words/union (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=united-airlines&word=union · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=united-airlines&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP