Will United Airlines say “Iran / Middle East”?

United Airlines did not say “Iran / Middle East” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 3, 3, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, no Kalshi or Polymarket mention market on United Airlines saying “Iran / Middle East” has settled yet. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (from the transcript model), not a forecast.

51%from transcript modelNext: Earnings call, Jan 20, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
28¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

United Airlines

Iran / Middle East

Probability
51% · n=0
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 16, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Scott Kirbycompanyprepared · 1:33Hear it 1:27, Scott Kirby In transcript

…customers and running a best-in-class airline and not letting the conflict in Iran distract from the consistent execution we've become accustomed to. 2026 is once…

Mike Leskinencompanyprepared · 17:25Hear it 17:19, Mike Leskinen In transcript

…As the quarter began, the industry faced significant risk and uncertainty driven by the hostilities with Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Mike Leskinencompanyprepared · 17:06Hear it 17:00, Mike Leskinen In transcript

…is the massive run-up in fuel prices created by the conflict in Iran. Fuel prices remain volatile, and we're monitoring the situation closely. We delivered…

Scott Kirbycompanyqa · 25:49Hear it 25:47, Scott Kirby In transcript

We compete with some really good airlines in the Middle East and Asia, and they have some advantages that we don't have, and like I…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 21, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 16, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 17, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

J. Scott KirbycompanypreparedIn transcript

…is settled after the reconciliation bill passed. The geopolitical situation in the Middle East appears to have stabilized. And while tariffs are not yet certain,…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 16, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 22, 2025 · not said

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Questions

How many times did United Airlines say “Iran / Middle East” on its last earnings call?
United Airlines did not say “Iran / Middle East” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 2, 0, 0, 3, 3, 0 times.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “United Airlines: ‘Iran / Middle East’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/UAL/words/iran-or-middle-east (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=united-airlines&word=iran%20%2F%20middle%20east · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=united-airlines&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP