Will Tesla say “Trillion”?

Tesla did not say “Trillion” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla did not say “Trillion” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 23% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

23%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tesla

Trillion

Probability
23% · n=1
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last calls
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Elon MuskcompanyqaIn transcript

…a total of 64 gigabytes. Probably a 10% increase in compute in trillions of operations per second and in memory bandwidth. That's AI4.1 or AI4+…

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 22, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 23, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Elon MuskcompanypreparedIn transcript

…will be -- Optimus has the potential to be north of $10 trillion in revenue. Like, it's really bananas. So that you can obviously afford…

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 22, 2026TrillionKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Tesla say “Trillion” on its last earnings call?
Tesla did not say “Trillion” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0 times.
How often does Tesla say “Trillion”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla did not say “Trillion” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 22, 2026.
What is the probability Tesla says “Trillion” next time?
23%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Trillion’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/trillion (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=trillion · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP