Will Tesla say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
Tesla did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 22, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 17% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Tesla
Shutdown / Shut Down
- Probability
- 17% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…we saw during COVID, can be very expensive because slide disconnects can shut down production. So then your only option is costly expedite. It also…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2025 | Shutdown / Shut Down |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Tesla say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its last earnings call?
- Tesla did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Tesla say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 22, 2025.
- What is the probability Tesla says “Shutdown / Shut Down” next time?
- 17%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Shutdown / Shut Down’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/shut-down-or-shutdown (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=shut%20down%20%2F%20shutdown · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP