Will Tesla say “Inflation Reduction Act / IRA”?

Tesla did not say “Inflation Reduction Act / IRA” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla did not say “Inflation Reduction Act / IRA” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 22, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 20% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

20%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Tesla

Inflation Reduction Act / IRA

Probability
20% · n=1
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last calls
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 28, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 22, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Vaibhav TanejacompanyqaIn transcript

…support Elon's leadership through the two compensation proposals and the reelection of Ira, Kathleen, and Joe to the board. Note that it is a team…

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 23, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Vaibhav TanejacompanypreparedIn transcript

…near term. The first among those changes is the repeal of the IRA EV credit of $7,500 by the end of this quarter. Given the…

Mark Trevor DelaneyanalystqaIn transcript

…where you stand with FSD as well as the fact that the IRA purchase tax credits are poised to go away in the U.S. starting…

Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 22, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 29, 2025 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Apr 22, 2025Inflation Reduction Act / IRAKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Tesla say “Inflation Reduction Act / IRA” on its last earnings call?
Tesla did not say “Inflation Reduction Act / IRA” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does Tesla say “Inflation Reduction Act / IRA”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Tesla did not say “Inflation Reduction Act / IRA” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 22, 2025.
What is the probability Tesla says “Inflation Reduction Act / IRA” next time?
20%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers.

Cite parrot.markets, “Tesla: ‘Inflation Reduction Act / IRA’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/TSLA/words/inflation-reduction-act-or-ira (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=tesla&word=inflation%20reduction%20act%20%2F%20ira · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=tesla&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP