Will SpaceX say “Grok”?

SpaceX said “Grok” 16 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 2 calls: 16, 16 times. As of Oct 25, 2026, SpaceX said “Grok” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 4, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 96% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

96%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Jan 26, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
70¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=spacex&word=grok

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

SpaceX

Grok

Probability
96% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)
Last calls
said in 2 of 2

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 20, 2026 · said 16 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

16 counted (16 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Andrea WilliamscompanypreparedIn transcript

…on our dedicated earnings Q&A platform, which the SpaceX team built with Grok. During this webcast, we will discuss our business outlook and make forward-looking…

Elon MuskcompanypreparedIn transcript

…for optimal training. This will, I think, be extremely helpful for getting Grok to be potentially the best model, but certainly to be extremely competitive.…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 · said 16 times (counts)

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Counts: anyone

18 counted (13 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A).

Elon MuskcompanypreparedIn transcript

…We're significantly improving our AI models, most notably with the release of Grok 4.5 last month. I'll dive into each of those topics separately. With…

Elon MuskcompanypreparedIn transcript

…can actually service that bandwidth. Regarding AI, we're making rapid progress on Grok, because Grok 4.5 was a huge improvement. We have Grok 4.6 coming…

Every match in the transcript

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 20, 2026GrokKalshiYes16
Aug 4, 2026GrokPolymarketYes18

Questions

How many times did SpaceX say “Grok” on its last earnings call?
SpaceX said “Grok” 16 times on its Oct 20, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 2 calls: 16, 16 times.
How often does SpaceX say “Grok”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, SpaceX said “Grok” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 4, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
What is the probability SpaceX says “Grok” next time?
96%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “SpaceX: ‘Grok’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SPCX/words/grok (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=spacex&word=grok · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=spacex&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP