Will Shopify say “Shopify Capital”?
Shopify did not say “Shopify Capital” on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Shopify did not say “Shopify Capital” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 27% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 45¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Shopify
Shopify Capital
- Probability
- 27% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…live as the first built-in cryptocurrency option for Shopify Payments. We have Shopify Capital now in 8 countries, Shop tracking in more than 20 countries…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…additional countries and rolled out Tap to Pay in 7 more countries. Shopify Capital has now doubled its footprint from where we started the year,…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…countries. And so far in 2025, we have made really great progress. Shopify Capital is now available in Germany and the Netherlands, providing more merchants…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Shopify Capital |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| May 5, 2026 | Shopify Capital | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Shopify say “Shopify Capital” on its last earnings call?
- Shopify did not say “Shopify Capital” on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Shopify say “Shopify Capital”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Shopify did not say “Shopify Capital” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Shopify says “Shopify Capital” next time?
- 27%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Shopify: ‘Shopify Capital’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SHOP/words/shopify-capital (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=shopify&word=shopify%20capital · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=shopify&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP