Will Shopify say “Amazon”?
Shopify did not say “Amazon” on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 0, 2, 0 times. As of Oct 27, 2026, Shopify said “Amazon” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 11, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 22¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Shopify
Amazon
- Probability
- 40% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
Last month, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, Salesforce, and Stripe all joined the council, committing their expertise in internet scale transaction processing to build one Universal Commerce…
…actually deepening. Stripe recently, you know, joined our UCP Tech Council alongside Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, and Salesforce, who were the founding member. You know, to…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…stack for both international and local. This quarter alone, we partnered with Amazon of multichannel fulfillment, Big Blue, DHL Fulfillment Network, Go Bolt and Maple…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…skincare company owned by Unilever; Tata; the high-end home appliance manufacturer, Miele; Amazon's Daily Deal site, Woot; the leading fitness and nutrition brand, Beachbody and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Shopify say “Amazon” on its last earnings call?
- Shopify did not say “Amazon” on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 0, 2, 0 times.
- How often does Shopify say “Amazon”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Shopify said “Amazon” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 11, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Shopify says “Amazon” next time?
- 40%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Shopify: ‘Amazon’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SHOP/words/amazon (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=shopify&word=amazon · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=shopify&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP