Will Smithfield Foods say “Tariff”?

Smithfield Foods did not say “Tariff” on its Aug 11, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 6 of its last 7 calls: 9, 13, 11, 1, 3, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Smithfield Foods said “Tariff” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 68% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

68%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Oct 27, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
25¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Smithfield Foods

Tariff

Probability
68% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 6 of 7

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 11, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 28, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Shane SmithcompanypreparedIn transcript

As a reminder, the tariff disruption was introduced in April of 2025, impacting the year-over-year comparison in the first quarter. Our Hog Production segment delivered…

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Mar 24, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator

3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Shane SmithcompanypreparedIn transcript

…execution amid a compressed industry market spread and trade disruptions due to tariffs. And Hog Production achieved its highest profit year since 2014, reflecting improved…

Donovan OwenscompanyqaIn transcript

…what Doug (sic) [ Ben ] might be referring to as the tariffs. So the tariffs started to have some impact. It had some impact…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 28, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Shane SmithcompanypreparedIn transcript

…industry market spread. Additionally, Fresh Pork has been navigating in a challenging tariff environment. To achieve the level of profitability that the segment has accomplished…

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 12, 2025 · said 11 times (counts)

Open the appearance

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 29, 2025 · said 13 times (counts)

Open the appearance

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Mar 25, 2025 · said 9 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Mar 24, 2026TariffKalshiYes3

Questions

How many times did Smithfield Foods say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
Smithfield Foods did not say “Tariff” on its Aug 11, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 6 of its last 7 calls: 9, 13, 11, 1, 3, 1, 0 times.
How often does Smithfield Foods say “Tariff”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Smithfield Foods said “Tariff” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 24, 2026.
What is the probability Smithfield Foods says “Tariff” next time?
68%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Smithfield Foods: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SFD/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=smithfield-foods&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=smithfield-foods&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP