Will Smithfield Foods say “China”?
Smithfield Foods did not say “China” on its Aug 11, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 7 calls: 0, 10, 3, 0, 0, 2, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Smithfield Foods did not say “China” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 24, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 28¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceSmithfield Foods
China
- Probability
- 34% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 7
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…production volume in our East Coast operations due to temporary winter storm disruptions as well as lower gross margin as China export volumes decreased year-over-year.
…East Coast operations, as well as lower gross margins driven by lower China export volumes year-over-year. We were able to partially offset these headwinds with…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…to flex production over the course of the quarter. We navigated the China tariff disruption, minimizing the impact by selling into alternative countries and channels,…
…we believe our 2025 range for Fresh Pork addresses the risk that China or other export market tariffs could again be prohibited. For Hog Production,…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
10 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 10 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
Yes, thanks Megan. So as it relates to China, from an industry standpoint, we can’t underestimate the importance that China has been to the overall…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | China | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Smithfield Foods say “China” on its last earnings call?
- Smithfield Foods did not say “China” on its Aug 11, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 7 calls: 0, 10, 3, 0, 0, 2, 0 times.
- How often does Smithfield Foods say “China”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Smithfield Foods did not say “China” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Mar 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Smithfield Foods says “China” next time?
- 34%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Smithfield Foods: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/SFD/words/china (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=smithfield-foods&word=china · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=smithfield-foods&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP