Will MercadoLibre say “Headwind”?

MercadoLibre said “Headwind” 2 times on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 2, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, MercadoLibre said “Headwind” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

56%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Nov 4, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

MercadoLibre

Headwind

Probability
56% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator

2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 3 by speakers the rule does not count.

Ariel SzarfsztejncompanyqaIn transcript

…yes, the tax reform that we explained last quarter is definitely a headwind to our growth. That together with some headwinds coming from a weaker…

Irma SgarzanalystqaIn transcript

…to pass that through to customers. Then secondly, whether those two incremental headwinds, either in nature or magnitude, were something that you were already factoring…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 7, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 24, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Martin de Los SantoscompanypreparedIn transcript

…impacts not only growth but also pressures our EBIT margin. Despite the headwind Argentina continues to be a very profitable market with strong long-term growth…

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 4, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 7, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 20, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 6, 2024 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Marcos GalperíncompanypreparedIn transcript

…for MercadoLibre and once again we had a strong quarter despite FX headwinds that we experienced in Mexico and Brazil. Most of the volume of…

Marcos GalperíncompanypreparedIn transcript

…strong operational KPIs translated into revenue growth of 35% year-on-year despite FX headwinds that we suffer in Mexico and Brazil. A successful Q3 performance is…

Every match in the transcript

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 5, 2026HeadwindKalshiYes2

Questions

How many times did MercadoLibre say “Headwind” on its last earnings call?
MercadoLibre said “Headwind” 2 times on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 2, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 2 times.
How often does MercadoLibre say “Headwind”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, MercadoLibre said “Headwind” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 5, 2026.
What is the probability MercadoLibre says “Headwind” next time?
56%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “MercadoLibre: ‘Headwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MELI/words/headwind (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mercadolibre&word=headwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mercadolibre&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP