Will McDonald's say “Iran / Middle East”?
McDonald's did not say “Iran / Middle East” on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 2, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 4, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, McDonald's did not say “Iran / Middle East” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 25¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
McDonald's
Iran / Middle East
- Probability
- 38% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…to provide an update on the impact of the war in the Middle East. While the direct impact on our operations in that region did…
…world-class supplier partnerships and hedging strategies, position us well to navigate near-term cost pressures and increased volatility resulting from the war in the Middle East.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…the quarter were up 3.5%, largely driven by positive results in the Middle East and Japan. And in China, our performance remained stable, driven by…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…the quarter were over 4%, largely driven by positive results in the Middle East and Japan. In the Middle East, the positive sales comp largely…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Iran / Middle East |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did McDonald's say “Iran / Middle East” on its last earnings call?
- McDonald's did not say “Iran / Middle East” on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 2, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 4, 0 times.
- How often does McDonald's say “Iran / Middle East”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, McDonald's did not say “Iran / Middle East” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 4, 2026.
- What is the probability McDonald's says “Iran / Middle East” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “McDonald's: ‘Iran / Middle East’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MCD/words/iran-or-middle-east (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mcdonalds&word=iran%20%2F%20middle%20east · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mcdonalds&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP