Will Lucid say “China”?
Lucid did not say “China” on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 26, 2026, Lucid did not say “China” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 6, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 16% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 15¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceLucid
China
- Probability
- 16% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…supply chain; and second, the availability of [ magnet ] originating in China, an industry-wide challenge. To the first point, we've been working closely with…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2025 | China | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Lucid say “China” on its last earnings call?
- Lucid did not say “China” on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Lucid say “China”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Lucid did not say “China” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 6, 2025.
- What is the probability Lucid says “China” next time?
- 16%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Lucid: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/LCID/words/china (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=lucid&word=china · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=lucid&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP