Lucid (LCID)
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 15 word markets on Lucid’s earnings calls since 2025, on 15 different words. Next call: Nov 9, 2026 (14 words listed).
| Word | Q3’24Nov '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25year ago | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26May '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Autonomous | 0 times: Autonomous, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 2 times: Autonomous, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 7 times: Autonomous, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Autonomous, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 5 times: Autonomous, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 2 times: Autonomous, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 2 times: Autonomous, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 4 times: Autonomous, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 5/862% | 8/2040% | 79%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Supply chain | 0 times: Supply chain, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 3 times: Supply chain, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 15 times: Supply chain, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 7 times: Supply chain, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 3 times: Supply chain, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 6 times: Supply chain, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Supply chain, Q1’26 May '26 | 2 times: Supply chain, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | falling | 6/875% | 6/875% | 17/2085% | 77%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Arizona | 4 times: Arizona, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: Arizona, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 5 times: Arizona, Q1’25 May '25, counts as said | 0 times: Arizona, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: Arizona, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: Arizona, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: Arizona, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 6 times: Arizona, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | steady | 6/875% | 5/862% | 18/2090% | 74%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Saudi Public Investment Fund / PIF | 7 times: Saudi Public Investment Fund / PIF, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 2 times: Saudi Public Investment Fund / PIF, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: Saudi Public Investment Fund / PIF, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Saudi Public Investment Fund / PIF, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 3 times: Saudi Public Investment Fund / PIF, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 2 times: Saudi Public Investment Fund / PIF, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 5 times: Saudi Public Investment Fund / PIF, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: Saudi Public Investment Fund / PIF, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 5/862% | 5/862% | 11/2055% | 58%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| OTA / Over-the-air | 4 times: OTA / Over-the-air, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: OTA / Over-the-air, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: OTA / Over-the-air, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: OTA / Over-the-air, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 2 times: OTA / Over-the-air, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 1 time: OTA / Over-the-air, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: OTA / Over-the-air, Q1’26 May '26 | 2 times: OTA / Over-the-air, Q2’26 Aug '26, counts as said | falling | 4/850% | 4/850% | 15/2075% | 52%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Tesla | 1 time: Tesla, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 0 times: Tesla, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Tesla, Q1’25 May '25 | 3 times: Tesla, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: Tesla, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 3 times: Tesla, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: Tesla, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Tesla, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 3/838% | 2/825% | 13/2065% | 35%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| International | 0 times: International, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: International, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: International, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: International, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: International, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 1 time: International, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 1 time: International, Q1’26 May '26, counts as said | 0 times: International, Q2’26 Aug '26 | rising | 2/825% | 2/825% | 11/2055% | 28%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| BYD | 0 times: BYD, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: BYD, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: BYD, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: BYD, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: BYD, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 1 time: BYD, Q4’25 Feb '26, counts as said | 0 times: BYD, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: BYD, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 1/812% | 0/80% | 1/205% | 21%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Luxury EV | 0 times: Luxury EV, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Luxury EV, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Luxury EV, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Luxury EV, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 1 time: Luxury EV, Q3’25 Nov '25, counts as said | 0 times: Luxury EV, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Luxury EV, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Luxury EV, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 4/2020% | 21%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Gravity SUV | 1 time: Gravity SUV, Q3’24 Nov '24, counts as said | 1 time: Gravity SUV, Q4’24 Feb '25, counts as said | 0 times: Gravity SUV, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Gravity SUV, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Gravity SUV, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Gravity SUV, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Gravity SUV, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Gravity SUV, Q2’26 Aug '26 | falling | 2/825% | 2/825% | 11/2055% | 18%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| China | 0 times: China, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: China, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: China, Q1’25 May '25 | 1 time: China, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: China, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: China, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: China, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: China, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 6/2030% | 16%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| DreamDrive | 0 times: DreamDrive, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: DreamDrive, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: DreamDrive, Q1’25 May '25 | 1 time: DreamDrive, Q2’25 Aug '25, counts as said | 0 times: DreamDrive, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: DreamDrive, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: DreamDrive, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: DreamDrive, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 2/2010% | 16%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Charging infrastructure | 0 times: Charging infrastructure, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Charging infrastructure, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Charging infrastructure, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Charging infrastructure, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Charging infrastructure, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Charging infrastructure, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Charging infrastructure, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Charging infrastructure, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 1/205% | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
| Reservation backlognever said | 0 times: Reservation backlog, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Reservation backlog, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Reservation backlog, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Reservation backlog, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Reservation backlog, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Reservation backlog, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Reservation backlog, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Reservation backlog, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/200% | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 46¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 22, 2026 23:43 UTC.
Every word
1–1 of 1, most settled first| Word | Q3’24Nov '24 | Q4’24Feb '25 | Q1’25May '25 | Q2’25Aug '25 | Q3’25Nov '25 | Q4’25Feb '26 | Q1’26May '26 | Q2’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucid Air deliveries | 0 times: Lucid Air deliveries, Q3’24 Nov '24 | 0 times: Lucid Air deliveries, Q4’24 Feb '25 | 0 times: Lucid Air deliveries, Q1’25 May '25 | 0 times: Lucid Air deliveries, Q2’25 Aug '25 | 0 times: Lucid Air deliveries, Q3’25 Nov '25 | 0 times: Lucid Air deliveries, Q4’25 Feb '26 | 0 times: Lucid Air deliveries, Q1’26 May '26 | 0 times: Lucid Air deliveries, Q2’26 Aug '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 1/205% | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 15 of 15 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 5, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 6, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 15 | 3 yes · 12 no | 15/15 (100%) |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Aug 5, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| May 6, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Feb 21, 2024 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Nov 7, 2023 | Earnings call FY23 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Lucid (LCID): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/LCID (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/lucid · words: /api/v1/history?entity=lucid · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP