Will Carvana say “Iran / Middle East”?
Carvana did not say “Iran / Middle East” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Carvana did not say “Iran / Middle East” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 23% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 14¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Carvana
Iran / Middle East
- Probability
- 23% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
You know, gas prices or impacts from Iran or, you know, recon expense or whatever it is. I think as a general matter, we think…
…lead to additional vehicle demand. I think, you know, we only see our own data, and that did coincide very closely with the Iran situation.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Iran / Middle East |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Carvana say “Iran / Middle East” on its last earnings call?
- Carvana did not say “Iran / Middle East” on its Jul 29, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 0 times.
- How often does Carvana say “Iran / Middle East”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Carvana did not say “Iran / Middle East” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jul 29, 2026.
- What is the probability Carvana says “Iran / Middle East” next time?
- 23%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Carvana: ‘Iran / Middle East’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/CVNA/words/iran-or-middle-east (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=carvana&word=iran%20%2F%20middle%20east · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=carvana&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP