Will AeroVironment say “Orbit”?
AeroVironment did not say “Orbit” on its Sep 9, 2026 call (FY27 Q1); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 2, 0 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, AeroVironment said “Orbit” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 59¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
AeroVironment
Orbit
- Probability
- 45% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…of the largest awards on record. These terminals will be deployed on orbit for critical national security missions. Subsequent to the quarter closing, the U.S.…
…all of the satellites that we have in LEO, MEO, and geosynchronous orbits around Earth, are going to get upgraded with the capability of long-haul…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…awarded in this category. This disruptive innovation is moving from lab to orbit, a critical step for AV and the industry. Long-haul laser communications use…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2026 | Orbit |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How many times did AeroVironment say “Orbit” on its last earnings call?
- AeroVironment did not say “Orbit” on its Sep 9, 2026 call (FY27 Q1); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 2, 0 times.
- How often does AeroVironment say “Orbit”?
- As of Oct 23, 2026, AeroVironment said “Orbit” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Jun 29, 2026.
- What is the probability AeroVironment says “Orbit” next time?
- 45%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “AeroVironment: ‘Orbit’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AVAV/words/orbit (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=aerovironment&word=orbit · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=aerovironment&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP