AeroVironment (AVAV)
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 12 word markets on AeroVironment’s earnings calls since 2026, on 12 different words. Next call: Dec 8, 2026 (14 words listed).
| Word | Q2’25Dec '24 | Q3’25Mar '25 | Q4’25Jun '25 | Q1’26Sep '25 | Q2’26year ago | Q3’26Mar '26 | Q4’26Jun '26 | Q1’27last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AV Halo | 0 times: AV Halo, Q2’25 Dec '24 | 0 times: AV Halo, Q3’25 Mar '25 | 0 times: AV Halo, Q4’25 Jun '25 | 0 times: AV Halo, Q1’26 Sep '25 | 18 times: AV Halo, Q2’26 Dec '25, counts as said | 1 time: AV Halo, Q3’26 Mar '26, counts as said | 4 times: AV Halo, Q4’26 Jun '26, counts as said | 0 times: AV Halo, Q1’27 Sep '26 | rising | 3/838% | 3/838% | 3/665% | 78%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 66¢ Kalshi |
| Space Force | 0 times: Space Force, Q2’25 Dec '24 | 1 time: Space Force, Q3’25 Mar '25, counts as said | 1 time: Space Force, Q4’25 Jun '25, counts as said | 1 time: Space Force, Q1’26 Sep '25, counts as said | 2 times: Space Force, Q2’26 Dec '25, counts as said | 14 times: Space Force, Q3’26 Mar '26, counts as said | 3 times: Space Force, Q4’26 Jun '26, counts as said | 0 times: Space Force, Q1’27 Sep '26 | rising | 6/875% | 3/838% | 6/669% | 76%transcripts from the transcript model | 40¢ Kalshi |
| Golden Dome | 0 times: Golden Dome, Q2’25 Dec '24 | 0 times: Golden Dome, Q3’25 Mar '25 | 0 times: Golden Dome, Q4’25 Jun '25 | 7 times: Golden Dome, Q1’26 Sep '25, counts as said | 1 time: Golden Dome, Q2’26 Dec '25, counts as said | 6 times: Golden Dome, Q3’26 Mar '26, counts as said | 1 time: Golden Dome, Q4’26 Jun '26, counts as said | 1 time: Golden Dome, Q1’27 Sep '26, counts as said | rising | 5/862% | 5/862% | 5/668% | 75%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 77¢ Kalshi |
| Iran / Middle East | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q2’25 Dec '24 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q3’25 Mar '25 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’25 Jun '25 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’26 Sep '25 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q2’26 Dec '25 | 10 times: Iran / Middle East, Q3’26 Mar '26, counts as said | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’26 Jun '26 | 7 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’27 Sep '26, counts as said | rising | 2/825% | 1/812% | 15/6623% | 72%transcripts from the transcript model | 55¢ Kalshi |
| BlueHalo / Blue Halo3+ times | 6 times: BlueHalo / Blue Halo (3+ times), Q2’25 Dec '24, counts as said | 12 times: BlueHalo / Blue Halo (3+ times), Q3’25 Mar '25, counts as said | 17 times: BlueHalo / Blue Halo (3+ times), Q4’25 Jun '25, counts as said | 19 times: BlueHalo / Blue Halo (3+ times), Q1’26 Sep '25, counts as said | 9 times: BlueHalo / Blue Halo (3+ times), Q2’26 Dec '25, counts as said | 12 times: BlueHalo / Blue Halo (3+ times), Q3’26 Mar '26, counts as said | 9 times: BlueHalo / Blue Halo (3+ times), Q4’26 Jun '26, counts as said | 1 time: BlueHalo / Blue Halo (3+ times), Q1’27 Sep '26, below the threshold | falling | 7/888% | 7/888% | 7/6611% | 68%transcripts from the transcript model | 54¢ Kalshi |
| Supply Chain | 1 time: Supply Chain, Q2’25 Dec '24, counts as said | 1 time: Supply Chain, Q3’25 Mar '25, counts as said | 0 times: Supply Chain, Q4’25 Jun '25 | 0 times: Supply Chain, Q1’26 Sep '25 | 1 time: Supply Chain, Q2’26 Dec '25, counts as said | 2 times: Supply Chain, Q3’26 Mar '26, counts as said | 0 times: Supply Chain, Q4’26 Jun '26 | 6 times: Supply Chain, Q1’27 Sep '26, counts as said | rising | 5/862% | 4/850% | 26/6639% | 63%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 64¢ Kalshi |
| Red Dragon3+ times | 0 times: Red Dragon (3+ times), Q2’25 Dec '24 | 0 times: Red Dragon (3+ times), Q3’25 Mar '25 | 11 times: Red Dragon (3+ times), Q4’25 Jun '25, counts as said | 0 times: Red Dragon (3+ times), Q1’26 Sep '25 | 3 times: Red Dragon (3+ times), Q2’26 Dec '25, counts as said | 7 times: Red Dragon (3+ times), Q3’26 Mar '26, counts as said | 11 times: Red Dragon (3+ times), Q4’26 Jun '26, counts as said | 2 times: Red Dragon (3+ times), Q1’27 Sep '26, below the threshold | rising | 4/850% | 3/838% | 4/666% | 53%transcripts from the transcript model | 41¢ Kalshi |
| Tailwind | 0 times: Tailwind, Q2’25 Dec '24 | 0 times: Tailwind, Q3’25 Mar '25 | 1 time: Tailwind, Q4’25 Jun '25, counts as said | 0 times: Tailwind, Q1’26 Sep '25 | 0 times: Tailwind, Q2’26 Dec '25 | 0 times: Tailwind, Q3’26 Mar '26 | 1 time: Tailwind, Q4’26 Jun '26, counts as said | 1 time: Tailwind, Q1’27 Sep '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 3/838% | 3/665% | 51%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 64¢ Kalshi |
| Taiwan | 3 times: Taiwan, Q2’25 Dec '24, counts as said | 0 times: Taiwan, Q3’25 Mar '25 | 0 times: Taiwan, Q4’25 Jun '25 | 0 times: Taiwan, Q1’26 Sep '25 | 2 times: Taiwan, Q2’26 Dec '25, counts as said | 1 time: Taiwan, Q3’26 Mar '26, counts as said | 0 times: Taiwan, Q4’26 Jun '26 | 1 time: Taiwan, Q1’27 Sep '26, counts as said | falling | 4/850% | 3/838% | 7/6611% | 47%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 48¢ Kalshi |
| Orbit | 0 times: Orbit, Q2’25 Dec '24 | 0 times: Orbit, Q3’25 Mar '25 | 0 times: Orbit, Q4’25 Jun '25 | 0 times: Orbit, Q1’26 Sep '25 | 1 time: Orbit, Q2’26 Dec '25, counts as said | 0 times: Orbit, Q3’26 Mar '26 | 2 times: Orbit, Q4’26 Jun '26, counts as said | 0 times: Orbit, Q1’27 Sep '26 | rising | 2/825% | 2/825% | 4/666% | 45%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 60¢ Kalshi |
| Robot / Robotic / Robotics | 0 times: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Q2’25 Dec '24 | 1 time: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Q3’25 Mar '25, counts as said | 3 times: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Q4’25 Jun '25, counts as said | 0 times: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Q1’26 Sep '25 | 5 times: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Q2’26 Dec '25, counts as said | 0 times: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Q3’26 Mar '26 | 0 times: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Q4’26 Jun '26 | 0 times: Robot / Robotic / Robotics, Q1’27 Sep '26 | falling | 3/838% | 2/825% | 27/6641% | 40%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 40¢ Kalshi |
| Headwind | 0 times: Headwind, Q2’25 Dec '24 | 0 times: Headwind, Q3’25 Mar '25 | 0 times: Headwind, Q4’25 Jun '25 | 0 times: Headwind, Q1’26 Sep '25 | 0 times: Headwind, Q2’26 Dec '25 | 1 time: Headwind, Q3’26 Mar '26, counts as said | 0 times: Headwind, Q4’26 Jun '26 | 0 times: Headwind, Q1’27 Sep '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 12/6618% | 20%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 28¢ Kalshi |
| NATO | 0 times: NATO, Q2’25 Dec '24 | 1 time: NATO, Q3’25 Mar '25, counts as said | 0 times: NATO, Q4’25 Jun '25 | 1 time: NATO, Q1’26 Sep '25, counts as said | 0 times: NATO, Q2’26 Dec '25 | 0 times: NATO, Q3’26 Mar '26 | 0 times: NATO, Q4’26 Jun '26 | 0 times: NATO, Q1’27 Sep '26 | falling | 2/825% | 2/825% | 8/6612% | 17%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 21¢ Kalshi |
| Backpackable | 0 times: Backpackable, Q2’25 Dec '24 | 0 times: Backpackable, Q3’25 Mar '25 | 0 times: Backpackable, Q4’25 Jun '25 | 0 times: Backpackable, Q1’26 Sep '25 | 0 times: Backpackable, Q2’26 Dec '25 | 0 times: Backpackable, Q3’26 Mar '26 | 0 times: Backpackable, Q4’26 Jun '26 | 0 times: Backpackable, Q1’27 Sep '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 3/665% | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 20¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Every word
1–2 of 2, most settled first| Word | Q2’25Dec '24 | Q3’25Mar '25 | Q4’25Jun '25 | Q1’26Sep '25 | Q2’26Dec '25 | Q3’26Mar '26 | Q4’26Jun '26 | Q1’27last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Class Actionnever said | 0 times: Class Action, Q2’25 Dec '24 | 0 times: Class Action, Q3’25 Mar '25 | 0 times: Class Action, Q4’25 Jun '25 | 0 times: Class Action, Q1’26 Sep '25 | 0 times: Class Action, Q2’26 Dec '25 | 0 times: Class Action, Q3’26 Mar '26 | 0 times: Class Action, Q4’26 Jun '26 | 0 times: Class Action, Q1’27 Sep '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/660% | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Iran | 0 times: Iran, Q2’25 Dec '24 | 0 times: Iran, Q3’25 Mar '25 | 0 times: Iran, Q4’25 Jun '25 | 0 times: Iran, Q1’26 Sep '25 | 0 times: Iran, Q2’26 Dec '25 | 10 times: Iran, Q3’26 Mar '26, counts as said | 0 times: Iran, Q4’26 Jun '26 | 1 time: Iran, Q1’27 Sep '26, counts as said | rising | 2/825% | 1/812% | 2/663% | 58%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 12 of 12 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Earnings call FY27 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jun 29, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 12 | 4 yes · 8 no | 12/12 (100%) |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Sep 9, 2025 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jun 24, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Sep 4, 2024 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Mar 4, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “AeroVironment (AVAV): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AVAV (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/aerovironment · words: /api/v1/history?entity=aerovironment · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP