Will Airbnb say “Tailwind”?
Airbnb said “Tailwind” 1 time on its Aug 6, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 2, 0, 1, 5, 2, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Airbnb said “Tailwind” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 77% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Airbnb
Tailwind
- Probability
- 77% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…growth of 15%-17%. This includes an approximate three percentage point foreign exchange tailwind after factoring in our hedging program. We expect year-over-year GBV growth to…
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…generate revenue of $3.54 billion-$3.6 billion, representing year-over-year growth of 14%-16%. This includes an approximate 3% foreign exchange tailwind after factoring in our hedging program.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
5 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…as much revenue this year as Hawaii and will remain a strong tailwind for years to come. Next up, supply. Most of our supply growth…
…year-over-year growth of 14% to 16%. This includes an approximate 3-point FX tailwind after factoring in our hedging program. We expect gross booking value to…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Tailwind |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How many times did Airbnb say “Tailwind” on its last earnings call?
- Airbnb said “Tailwind” 1 time on its Aug 6, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 2, 0, 1, 5, 2, 1 times.
- How often does Airbnb say “Tailwind”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Airbnb said “Tailwind” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 7, 2026.
- What is the probability Airbnb says “Tailwind” next time?
- 77%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Airbnb: ‘Tailwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ABNB/words/tailwind (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=airbnb&word=tailwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=airbnb&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP