Will Airbnb say “Headwind”?
Airbnb said “Headwind” 1 time on its Aug 6, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 4, 6, 0, 0, 0, 3, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Airbnb said “Headwind” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 62% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Airbnb
Headwind
- Probability
- 62% · n=1
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…and Europe, with Europe marking a steady recovery from the Middle East-related headwinds we saw in Q1, alongside approximately 20% growth in Latin America and…
Counts: company speakers + operator
3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…seats booked grew 9% after accounting for an approximate 100 basis point headwind from the conflict in the Middle East. We're seeing this momentum show…
…growth we saw in Q1. This seems an approximate 100 basis points headwind related to the conflict in the Middle East. On profitability, we expect…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
6 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 6 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…bringing prices up. There is a movement in terms of the FX headwinds. So, the FX headwind relative to Q1 is dissipating in Q2. And…
…of February, we were assuming that, FX would be a pretty meaningful headwind for the remainder of the year. Fast forward to where we are…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Headwind |  Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
Questions
- How many times did Airbnb say “Headwind” on its last earnings call?
- Airbnb said “Headwind” 1 time on its Aug 6, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 4, 6, 0, 0, 0, 3, 1 times.
- How often does Airbnb say “Headwind”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Airbnb said “Headwind” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 7, 2026.
- What is the probability Airbnb says “Headwind” next time?
- 62%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Airbnb: ‘Headwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ABNB/words/headwind (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=airbnb&word=headwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=airbnb&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP